Weekly Updated Forecast

Mortgage Rates Forecast 2025: What 10 Experts Predict

Weekly updated forecast from Fed, MBA, Fannie Mae, and 7 more expert sources. See when to lock your rate.

DR
David Rodriguez
Refinance & Rate Specialist • Updated November 16, 2025

This Week's Forecast (November 16, 2025)

Current Rate
6.75%
30-year fixed
End 2025 Forecast
6.0%
Average prediction
End 2026 Forecast
5.8%
Average prediction

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10 Expert Forecasts: 30-Year Fixed Rates

SourceQ4 2025Q4 2026Confidence
Federal Reserve6.1%5.8%High
Fannie Mae6.0%5.8%High
Freddie Mac6.2%5.9%High
MBA6.0%5.7%High
NAR6.3%6.0%Medium
Wells Fargo5.9%5.6%Medium
Bank of America6.1%5.8%Medium
Goldman Sachs5.8%5.5%Medium
JPMorgan6.2%5.9%Medium
Morgan Stanley6.0%5.7%Medium
AVERAGE6.0%5.8%

Should You Lock or Wait?

Lock Now If:

  • You found your dream home and closing soon
  • Current rate is 6.5% or lower
  • You need payment certainty for budgeting
  • You can't afford to wait 3-6 months
  • Refinancing is an option if rates drop

Wait If:

  • Still house hunting (no rush)
  • Current rate quote is 7% or higher
  • You can wait 3-6 months for better rates
  • Fed rate cuts expected in next quarter
  • You're comfortable with rate uncertainty

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